An important difference between overall budgets and job boards is that budgets tell you how all the resources are spent whereas job boards just tell you how (some of) the resources are spent on the margin. EA could spend a lot of money on some area and/or employ lots of people to work in that area without actively hiring new people. We'd miss that by just looking at the job board.
I think this is a nice suggestion for getting a rough idea of EA priorities but because of this + Habryka's observation that the 80k job board is not representative of new jobs in and around EA, I'd caution against putting much weight on this.nunosempere on What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?
Yep, exactly right.habryka on What is the increase in expected value of effective altruist Wayne Hsiung being mayor of Berkeley instead of its current incumbent?
This was posted to a relatively large (> 100 people) but private FB groups where various people who were active in EA and animal activism were talking to each other. I can confirm that it is accurate (since I am still part of the group).linch on Politics on the EA Forum
Where does a post on vote-trading/vote-pairing [EA · GW] fit in? On the one hand, it's about electoral politics tactics rather than an object-level discussion of which candidates or political parties are better.
On the other hand, they're usually structured to implicitly or explicitly benefit some candidates at the cost of others.davidjanku on Donor Lottery Debrief
Effective Thesis [EA · GW] is looking for funding. I believe the downside risk is very small and we could likely find a way to ensure U.S. tax deductibility. Since this is small meta project, it's not that easy to find institutional support and individual donations might thus have quite large impact on continuation of this project.linch on What is the increase in expected value of effective altruist Wayne Hsiung being mayor of Berkeley instead of its current incumbent?
I can't think of many (any?) other EA leaders who want to become elected leaders.
While this was before contemporary EA, Peter Singer has run for office before:
In 1992, he became a founding member of the Victorian Greens. He has run for political office twice for the Greens: in 1994 he received 28% of the vote in the Kooyong by-election, and in 1996 he received 3% of the vote when running for the Senate (elected by proportional representation). Before the 1996 election, he co-authored a book The Greens with Bob Brown.
Of course, some of our even earlier predecessors, like the old school English utilitarians, or the Chinese Mohists, were substantially more interested in direct politics (rather than precursors to think-tank style policy analysis) than we are.aarongertler on What is the increase in expected value of effective altruist Wayne Hsiung being mayor of Berkeley instead of its current incumbent?
Where does this quote come from?aarongertler on avacyn's Shortform
That's the kind of source I was looking for; thanks for letting me know when it came up.bshumway on Addressing Global Poverty as a Strategy to Improve the Long-Term Future
Yes, the US pandemic response in particular is evidence that the wealth of a country does not seem to be the most important factor in effective response to threats. Also, the “boring apocalypse“ scenario seems much more probable to me than any sort of “bang” or rapid extinction event and I think there is a lot that could be done in the realm of global development to help create a world more robust to that kind of slow burn.bshumway on Addressing Global Poverty as a Strategy to Improve the Long-Term Future
This is great! I’m glad these things are at least on the agenda. I will be following with interest to see what comes of this.