Forecasting Newsletter: June 2020

post by NunoSempere · 2020-07-01T09:32:57.248Z · score: 45 (18 votes) · EA · GW · 3 comments

Contents

  Forecasting Newsletter. June 2020.
    Highlights
    Index
    In the News.
    Prediction Markets & Forecasting platforms.
    Negative examples.
    Hard to categorize.
    Long Content.
None
3 comments

Forecasting Newsletter. June 2020.

Highlights

  1. Facebook launches Forecast, a community for crowdsourced predictions.
  2. Foretell, a forecasting tournament by the Center for Security and Emerging Technology, is now open.
  3. A Preliminary Look at Metaculus and Expert Forecasts: Metaculus forecasters do better.

Sign up here or browse past newsletters here

Index

In the News.

Prediction Markets & Forecasting platforms.

Ordered in subjective order of importance:

Negative examples.

Hard to categorize.

Long Content.

Note to the future: All links are added automatically to the Internet Archive. In case of link rot, go here


"I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible that you may be mistaken." Oliver Cromwell


3 comments

Comments sorted by top scores.

comment by Pablo_Stafforini · 2020-07-01T22:38:48.743Z · score: 10 (7 votes) · EA(p) · GW(p)

A new, Ethereum-based prediction market has launched: Polymarket. It even features a question about Slate Star Codex and the New York Times. I tried it and it was pretty easy to set up. (I have no affiliation or with the owner.)

comment by Peter_Hurford · 2020-07-01T13:43:43.863Z · score: 1 (2 votes) · EA(p) · GW(p)

FYI - Your link to Foretell is broken

comment by NunoSempere · 2020-07-01T13:51:42.514Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · EA(p) · GW(p)

Fixed.