Metaculus's Climate Tipping Points Tournament Enters Round 2post by christian (christianM) · 2023-03-16T18:48:45.133Z · EA · GW · None comments
This is a link post for https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/climate/?search=cat:environment--climate--tipping-points-round-2
$2,500 Commentary Prize $2,500 Accuracy Prize None No comments
Round 2 of the Climate Tipping Points Tournament is now live. Metaculus has launched new policy-focused questions that further develop the Round 1 indicator categories identified as most critical. This round also includes conditional questions designed to quantify the impacts of specific policies or events coming to pass.
$2,500 Commentary Prize
Round 2 questions are eligible for $2,500 in prizes awarded for comments that:
- are well-reasoned and clear
- identify mistakes in the community’s reasoning or clearly explain why the author’s forecast differs from the community’s
- provide a detailed explanation of the impact of a parent question on a child question in a pair of conditional questions
Round 2 questions include the Round 2 tag and can be found here.
Comments must be submitted before July 1st to be eligible. Only Round 2 questions are eligible for the Commentary Prize. See the tournament page for more details.
$2,500 Accuracy Prize
Both Round 2 and Round 1 questions that resolve before March 1st, 2027 are eligible for the accuracy prize, and we will launch an additional wave of Round 2 questions in the coming weeks.
Comments sorted by top scores.