New web app for calibration training funded by the Open Philanthropy Project

post by HaukeHillebrandt · 2018-12-15T15:18:54.905Z · score: 17 (8 votes) · EA · GW · 4 comments

This is a link post for

I've tried the offline version of this and found it very enjoyable. I've heard some very smart people say that it's the most valuable 4 hours of rationality training you can do.


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comment by babukumaran · 2018-12-26T05:05:53.037Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · EA(p) · GW(p)

Very useful tool. Interesting to know my calibration of CI. Most of the questions are not in my domain of knowledge. I had to use large ranges for most of the questions. Would it make a difference to do a test with questions in a related domain vs something of which I have no idea?

comment by Davidmanheim · 2018-12-16T10:49:44.601Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · EA(p) · GW(p)

Cool, but a fair number of the questions are vague or lack needed context.

Still, I'd agree for people that aren't used to self-calibration with the above assessment that, if not the most valuable, it's really up there on the list of "most valuable 4 hours of rationality training you can do."

comment by JoshYou · 2018-12-17T05:16:31.475Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · EA(p) · GW(p)

Vague or context-less questions might help you calibrate your views on topics you know very little about?

I am now somewhat better calibrated at claims about European football than I was before, I guess.

comment by Davidmanheim · 2018-12-20T12:34:54.500Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · EA(p) · GW(p)

Agreed, but a fairly large questions were so ill-specified that I was basically trying to decide what orders of magnitude was relevant for games I not only knew nothing about, but couldn't find clarity even after knowing the answer, over and over.

A sample example I'm making up, but is similar to some of the questions I saw: "England out-scored France in 1982 by how much?" What sport is being referred to? What series, or single game, or Olympics, or season?