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Ambiguity aversion and reduction of X-risks: A modelling situation 2021-09-13T07:16:40.013Z

Comment by Benedikt Schmidt on Ambiguity aversion and reduction of X-risks: A modelling situation · 2021-09-16T16:30:54.892Z · EA · GW

Maybe it gets clearer if you compare the relative values of the 4 variables.  corresponds to the benfits of RXR,   also corresponds to the benefits of RXR. But maybe I was not precise enough: The equivalence does not follow only from , we also need to take into account the definitions of the 4 variables.
Do you see what I mean?

Comment by Benedikt Schmidt on Ambiguity aversion and reduction of X-risks: A modelling situation · 2021-09-15T10:53:37.430Z · EA · GW

The reasoning is the following:

The agent-neutral values are now denoted by variables instead of numbers.
The worst case is represented by  , where the agent neither enjoys the beneﬁts
of PAP, nor those of RXR.   represents the value yielded by the choice of
PAP whereas corresponds to the value yielded by the choice of RXR. The
best case arises if the agent chooses PAP while RXR is not necessary, since
then the agent-neutral value incorporates the beneﬁts of PAP and RXR,
amounting to . Therefore, clearly the following relation holds:

From there, the equivalence under question follows.

Do you agree?

Comment by Benedikt Schmidt on Ambiguity aversion and reduction of X-risks: A modelling situation · 2021-09-15T10:50:53.833Z · EA · GW