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Which helped more? (Donating to AMF in 2010 or 2020) 2021-04-26T04:39:53.387Z

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Comment by ethankennerly (ethankennerly@gmail.com) on Which helped more? (Donating to AMF in 2010 or 2020) · 2021-05-06T01:37:31.429Z · EA · GW

Sjlver, you cited the article titled "Health and agricultural productivity: Evidence from Zambia." If I'm reading well, the randomized controlled trial measured about 10% to 15% increase in income during the next year for a population with free bednets.

That is a perfect example of the kinds of facts that I have been searching for. I welcome any more evidence.

Now I cited that exemplary article. In a spreadsheet cell.

Also, in the past few days I revised some estimates and sources of facts.

I ignorantly estimated of 3% to 5% compounding opportunity cost in annual productivity from malaria alone. This is based on a comment from Rob Mathers at a World Malaria Day presentation about the total economic opportunity cost of malaria per year divided by the income of an estimated population at risk of malaria. It is a crude estimate.

Phil's discussion had inspired the historical scenario of donating to AMF in 2010 or 2020. As can be seen in the crude estimates so far, I am currently uncertain. Therefore, I agree with you, Sjlver, that with such high uncertainty it seems to be a deadly gamble to delay a gift by 10 years.

Again anyone's comments on facts from 2010 to 2020 would inform an estimate of this historical scenario. If I can understand a simple historical scenario, then it would inform my giving plans for the future.

Comment by ethankennerly (ethankennerly@gmail.com) on What are your questions for World Malaria Day with Rob Mather (AMF), Maddy Marasciulo (Malaria Consortium), and Alekos Simoni (Target Malaria)? · 2021-04-26T03:57:44.391Z · EA · GW

For AMF, which of the following options was more helpful?

    (A) Donating 1000 bednets in 2010?

    or

    (B) Donating 3000 bednets in 2020?

Below is a link to a visual version of the above question:

Which Helped More? (Donating bednets in 2010 vs 2020)

Comment by ethankennerly (ethankennerly@gmail.com) on What are your questions for World Malaria Day with Rob Mather (AMF), Maddy Marasciulo (Malaria Consortium), and Alekos Simoni (Target Malaria)? · 2021-04-25T21:07:29.505Z · EA · GW

What is the ratio of malaria deaths per year compared to the total population in the regions of prevalent malaria incidences? How has this ratio changed from ten years ago?