Posts

Decreasing populism and improving democracy, evidence-based policy, and rationality 2021-07-27T18:14:51.484Z
An evaluation of Mind Ease, an anti-anxiety app 2021-07-26T11:35:30.500Z
Let's Fund Living review: 2020 update 2021-02-12T18:49:52.075Z
Int'l agreements to spend % of GDP on global public goods 2020-11-22T10:33:39.039Z
HaukeHillebrandt's Shortform 2020-04-17T10:13:42.853Z
Growth and the case against randomista development 2020-01-16T10:11:51.136Z
Dataset of Trillion Dollar figures 2020-01-13T13:33:25.067Z
Let’s Fund: annual review / fundraising / hiring / AMA 2019-12-31T14:54:35.968Z
[updated] Global development interventions are generally more effective than climate change interventions 2019-10-02T08:36:27.444Z
New popular science book on x-risks: "End Times" 2019-10-01T07:18:10.789Z
Corporate Global Catastrophic Risks (C-GCRs) 2019-06-30T16:53:31.350Z
Crowdfunding for Effective Climate Policy 2019-05-25T18:17:05.070Z
Nick Bostrom on Sam Harris' podcast 2019-03-19T11:21:09.483Z
[EAGx Talk] Considerations for Fundraising in Effective Altruism 2019-01-15T11:20:46.237Z
EA orgs are trying to fundraise ~$10m - $16m 2019-01-06T13:51:03.483Z
New web app for calibration training funded by the Open Philanthropy Project 2018-12-15T15:18:54.905Z
Impact investing is only a good idea in specific circumstances 2018-12-06T12:13:46.544Z
Effective Altruism in non-high-income countries 2018-11-15T17:18:42.761Z
“The Vulnerable World Hypothesis” (Nick Bostrom’s new paper) 2018-11-09T11:20:42.330Z
Why donate to meta-research? 2018-11-08T09:29:58.740Z
[link] Why donate to (scientific) research? 2018-10-29T11:13:25.026Z
Announcing: "Lets-Fund.org: High-Impact Crowdfunding campaigns" & "Let's Fund #1: A (small) scientific Revolution" 2018-10-25T21:22:14.605Z
A generalized strategy of ‘mission hedging’: investing in 'evil' to do more good 2018-02-18T17:41:31.873Z
69 things that might be pretty effective to fund 2018-01-21T22:47:32.094Z
Some objections and counter arguments against global poverty/health interventions 2015-08-05T09:44:11.863Z
Giving What We Can's response to recent deworming studies 2015-07-23T18:19:59.535Z
Long-lasting insecticide treated nets: $3,340 per life saved, $100 per DALY averted. How is this calculated? 2015-07-13T16:08:20.169Z
An update on Project Healthy Children 2015-06-08T13:36:16.414Z
Room for more funding: Why doesn’t the Gates foundation just close the funding gap of AMF and SCI? 2015-06-03T14:48:07.317Z
Feedback and $2k in funding needed for EA essay competition 2015-05-13T15:13:29.362Z

Comments

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Jamie_Harris's Shortform · 2021-11-30T15:11:39.554Z · EA · GW

It's quite common:

"Cryptomnesia occurs when a forgotten memory returns without its being recognized as such by the subject, who believes it is something new and original. It is a memory bias whereby a person may falsely recall generating a thought, an idea, a tune, a name, or a joke,[1] not deliberately engaging in plagiarism but rather experiencing a memory as if it were a new inspiration."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cryptomnesia

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on [Unofficial PR FAQ] Posting more jobs to the forum (but they are hidden by default) · 2021-11-23T17:11:27.108Z · EA · GW

I'd also love to see a 'Link' tag that is hidden from the frontpage but accessible elsewhere where people can submit links without any comments, but people can then discuss it... this way we could have an  EA hackernews / reddit thing.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Greg_Colbourn's Shortform · 2021-11-18T10:19:52.442Z · EA · GW

Surprisingly, globally, high cholesterol might kill 4m per year  - 50% in emerging economies. I think OPP is looking into air pollution which kills 7m per year, so maybe this is indeed something to lookin into.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Greg_Colbourn's Shortform · 2021-11-18T10:09:57.842Z · EA · GW

Romeo Stevens writes about cholesterol here.

Companies like thriva.co offer cheap at home lipid tests.

Here are a few recent papers on new drugs:

https://academic.oup.com/eurjpc/article/28/11/1279/5898664

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0735109721061131?via%3Dihub 

Cardiovascular disease is on the rise in emerging economies, so maybe it'd be competitive in the future. 

Saturated fat seems to be a main culprit: 

https://www.cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.1002/14651858.CD011737.pub3/full

Public health interventions might be a fat tax:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fat_tax

https://www.cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.1002/14651858.CD012415.pub2/full

Or donating to the Good Food institute on human health grounds.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on How does the simulation hypothesis deal with the 'problem of the dust'? · 2021-11-16T16:34:07.466Z · EA · GW

maybe relevant:

Is There Suffering in Fundamental Physics?

By Brian Tomasik


"This essay explores the speculative possibility that fundamental physical operations—atomic movements, electron orbits, photon collisions, etc.—could collectively deserve significant moral weight. While I was initially skeptical of this conclusion, I've since come to embrace it. In practice I might adopt a kind of moral-pluralism approach in which I maintain some concern for animal-like beings even if simple physics-based suffering dominates numerically. I also explore whether, if the multiverse does contain enormous amounts of suffering from fundamental physical operations, there are ways we can change how much of it occurs and what the distribution of "experiences" is. An argument based on vacuum fluctuations during the eternal lifetime of the universe suggests that if we give fundamental physics any nonzero weight, then almost all of our expected impact may come through how intelligence might transform fundamental physics to reduce the amount of suffering it contains. Alas, it's not clear whether negative-leaning consequentialists should actively promote concern for suffering in physics, even if they personally care a lot about it."

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What are the bad EA memes? How could we reframe them? · 2021-11-16T16:04:11.287Z · EA · GW

from https://80000hours.org/2020/08/misconceptions-effective-altruism/

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What's the GiveDirectly of longtermism & existential risk? · 2021-11-16T13:07:06.565Z · EA · GW

Also see Carl Shulman's 'Envisioning a world immune to global catastrophic biological risks'

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What's the GiveDirectly of longtermism & existential risk? · 2021-11-16T13:05:30.875Z · EA · GW

"[Climate change interventions are] just so robustly good, especially when it comes to what Founders Pledge typically champions funding the most: clean tech. Renewables, super hot rock geothermal, and other sorts of clean energy technologies are really good in a lot of worlds, over the very long term — and we have very good evidence to think that. A lot of the other stuff we're doing is much more speculative. So I’ve started to view [working on climate change] as the GiveDirectly of longtermist interventions. It's a fairly safe option."

But then this might be a bit outdated now (see Good news on climate change ). 

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on HaukeHillebrandt's Shortform · 2021-11-12T11:05:24.957Z · EA · GW

Inspired by Alex Berger talking about donating a kidney on the 80k podcast.

Could one increase kidney donations by subsidizing surgical excess fat removal for donors?

One might be able to remove fat and donate a kidney in one procedure.

Maybe this would raise fewer bioethical objections and make this more tractable.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on How Do We Make Nuclear Energy Tractable? · 2021-11-12T09:32:16.730Z · EA · GW

Can totally empathize with info overload - so here are the relevant sections:

"current generation nuclear might be better than using coal power and would reduce emissions in advanced economies.  

But, crucially, continued reliance on old technology does not lead to technology innovation spillovers in emerging economies. Current nuclear technology, for instance, will not play a big part in preventing climate change because:

  • It’s not infinitely powerful: It only contributes 5% to the world’s energy supply[169] and even in China, where regulation is lax and public opposition to nuclear is not as big an issue for policy-makers, few reactors are currently being built.
  • It carries safety risks.[170] While advanced nuclear power in some advanced economies might actually reduce nuclear proliferation risk by using up nuclear material, in other countries, nuclear power might increase proliferation risks.[171]
  • It will not be used in many emerging economies.[172] There is not much nuclear power in Africa to start with and only additional 1–5 countries in Africa currently plan to have commercial nuclear power, with many countries being away at least 10 years away from starting construction on nuclear plants.[173]

Continued reliance on outdated nuclear technology might not have the same crucial global technology spillovers as investments in other clean energy (including advanced nuclear). Since the best path towards global decarbonization is through global technology spillover into emerging economies, the actors that have the best emissions score may, surprisingly, not be the most effective actors at reducing the global rate of emissions in the future. This has some counterintuitive implications. Consider that Germany has higher carbon emissions than France even though it has invested more heavily in solar than its neighbor, which uses much more nuclear. Should advanced economies like Germany leave their nuclear plants running? Perhaps, but it will not make a very large dent in global emissions because 75% of all future emissions will come from emerging economies, which will not adopt the kind of (non-advanced) nuclear power currently in use in Germany."

of course, future nuclear might be a true game-changer - see a review  of small modular reactors 

[...]

Generally on which energy source is best:

"I relied on the scientific consensus on this topic. Also, unlike other analyses, we did not compare the effectiveness of different energy sources. For instance, is nuclear really good and its drawbacks are overstated?[87] Are renewables like solar underestimated?[88] Can coal perhaps be made clean through carbon capture?[89] We intentionally steered clear of these controversies and have not engaged with these questions on a deep level. There seems to be no expert consensus on whether any one technology is superior and unreasonably neglected than others. Instead, we feel there is some mild consensus amongst energy experts that the world's future energy supply must come from a diverse mix of energy sources[90] and it is best to opt for 'technology neutrality'[91], i.e. being agnostic with regards to which low-carbon technology is best. We assume that clean energy R&D budget increases will either lead to all technologies becoming better across the board or one technology will emerge more readily as the 'winner'."

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on How Do We Make Nuclear Energy Tractable? · 2021-11-11T16:24:48.151Z · EA · GW

From an EA point of view, the crucial consideration for nuclear energy seems to be its effect on nuclear proliferation:

sometimes it seems nuclear energy can increase proliferation, and sometimes decrease it.

Andy Webber talked about Nunn-Lugar program on the 80k podcast... but I'm not sure whether he actually mentioned that a lot of old nukes were actually used for nuclear power. I think someone should look into whether it makes sense to advocate for increased nuclear power on proliferation grounds (e.g. trying to burn it all up) or whether it'd be better to optimize separately for the best climate change intervention and the best non-proliferation intervention.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on How Do We Make Nuclear Energy Tractable? · 2021-11-11T16:16:54.631Z · EA · GW

I've written a little bit about nuclear here - 'ctrl+f nuclear'

https://lets-fund.org/clean-energy/

One update that I've made recently is that I was always puzzled that China is not building more nuclear, but I recently heard that this is because they're currently just a building a series of test reactors to see which one works before scaling up.

Especially this paper was pretty good: A Nuclear Solution to Climate Change?  (saying that nuclear is only cost-competitive with fossils at a $100 / t co2 tax ).

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on EA Slack Groups - Mental Health, SW Eng, Entrepreneurs (and more!) · 2021-11-11T15:57:13.021Z · EA · GW

Yes there is!

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/tags/all

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on EA Slack Groups - Mental Health, SW Eng, Entrepreneurs (and more!) · 2021-11-10T11:04:23.700Z · EA · GW

Consider adding this to the wiki.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on EA syllabi and teaching materials · 2021-11-09T17:35:36.836Z · EA · GW

GCBR reading list

Btw... this should be wiki maybe

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on [Discussion] Best intuition pumps for AI safety · 2021-11-08T10:53:56.474Z · EA · GW

There was a paper on this recently:

AI Risk Skepticism

Roman V. Yampolskiy

Abstract:

In this work, we survey skepticism regarding AI risk and show parallels with other types of scientific skepticism. We start by classifying different types of AI Risk skepticism and analyze their root causes. We conclude by suggesting some intervention approaches, which may be successful in reducing AI risk skepticism, at least amongst artificial intelligence researchers.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Emrik's Shortform · 2021-11-04T15:07:40.208Z · EA · GW

https://web.hypothes.is/

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What are your favourite ways to buy time? · 2021-11-03T15:47:54.809Z · EA · GW

"Access denied."

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on ben3536's Shortform · 2021-11-02T16:35:45.595Z · EA · GW

@josh-jacobson is also working on something similar.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Who has done the most good? · 2021-10-29T08:41:57.900Z · EA · GW

Maurice Hilleman could have both been the one who has done the most good or the one who caused the most suffering. 

He developed over 40 vaccines, estimated to save 8 million lives / year [Biography].

But in a new documentary on him he's credited to have invented a vaccine for chickens, which caused to the price of chicken and eggs to drop dramatically (at 43 mins). "The economic impact of Marek's Disease was $2bn until, with a loss per hen of $15 or 60% of the total production value" [source]

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Seeking feedback on new EA-aligned economics paper · 2021-10-22T09:11:18.360Z · EA · GW

Great comment. Related: part of me is glad that EA is so exposed to crypto, because governments are the biggest altruistic actors, and if cryptos valuation is largely due its potential to reduce taxation, it might be a good mission hedge.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Prioritization Research for Advancing Wisdom and Intelligence · 2021-10-19T10:05:30.463Z · EA · GW

Great post - I agree with a lot of what you write. I wrote about something quite similar here:

"Decreasing populism and improving democracy, evidence-based policy, and rationality"

where the general cause area of improving rationality also came out on top:

and did some ITN type prioritization for potential funding opportunities:

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Ben_Snodin's Shortform · 2021-10-12T10:28:29.883Z · EA · GW

Development Media International (DMI) is a non-governmental organization with both non-profit and for-profit arms that "use[s] scientific modelling combined with mass media campaigns in order to save the greatest number of lives in the most cost-effective way".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Development_Media_International

https://www.givewell.org/charities/DMI-July-2021-Version

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Ben_Snodin's Shortform · 2021-10-11T10:18:31.958Z · EA · GW

Really good idea and I think spreading socially useful information is really underexplored. 

Maybe one could even think about more  broad generalizable bite-sized memes that are robustly good  for everyone to know and one should spread. 

Some examples:

  • Germ theory
  • Pigouvian Taxes
  • Personal finance (e.g. Index funds)
  • Cost-effectiveness analysis
  • Health behaviours

Maybe there should be a DMI-like organization that does that.

Maybe effective would be either very visual ways of spreading these messages within a few seconds (e.g. https://edition.cnn.com/videos/entertainment/2020/03/17/scrubs-14-year-old-clip-infection-spread-mxp-vpx.hln ). 

There's already Kurzgesagt, which is a bit further along the spectrum towards 'deep engagement' which I think is really good and gets funding from the Gates Foundation.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Decreasing populism and improving democracy, evidence-based policy, and rationality · 2021-08-02T14:49:42.948Z · EA · GW

Sorry for being unclear, I didn't mean that populism must necessarily be anti-democratic- I've made a small edit to say that populism has any of the three features 'anti-democratic, illiberal, or anti-technocratic' to make this more clear - thanks for the feedback!

I've used my own rough and fuzzy definition of populism as a bit of a catch-all term for some things that are not liberal democracy, where illiberalism violates minority rights. So for example the Swiss Minaret controversy, where a majority banned the building of a Turkish Minaret through a popular referendum, I call populist here, despite being democratic. But you could replace 'populism' with another term, but I think it's not worth to get hung up on definitions.

Please don't equate anti-democratic with bad. It seems mostly good to have democratic control over the goals of public policy, but let's aim for less democratic control over factual claims.

Yes, agreed- I don't think direct democracy  (a la Switzerland) is always better. But yes, in the long-term  policy goals should ideally not be 'anti-democratic', even if they're technocratic and not very  illiberal (like the King of Jordan).  If you have too much technocracy and too little democratic accountability that might lead to populist backlash (see David Autor's studies on trade I cite here or Peter Singer's case against migration). So let's aim for whatever create most utility on the margin, which can sometimes be more democratic control (Jordan, but not Switzerland), sometimes more technocracy (e.g. US left), and sometimes more liberalism (e.g. US right).

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on A generalized strategy of ‘mission hedging’: investing in 'evil' to do more good · 2021-07-31T10:36:50.908Z · EA · GW

Very cool - thanks for doing this. 

I agree that EA-related resources  are skewed towards the US tech sector (see Ben Todd's recent post) and that should definitely be taken into account.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on An evaluation of Mind Ease, an anti-anxiety app · 2021-07-30T12:50:16.129Z · EA · GW

Cheers- thanks for the comment!

I'm using the term zero marginal cost colloquially as is common parlance in the tech sector. 

Your app might spread through word of mouth, the server costs are trivial and then you can scale at ~zero marginal cost.

As you say in practise tech firms often spend a few dollars on acquiring new users/customers.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on An evaluation of Mind Ease, an anti-anxiety app · 2021-07-30T08:40:25.113Z · EA · GW

Yes, excellent point- I go into more detail about this in the full report:

"Anxiety is a highly prevalent condition, with lifetime rates for its derived mental disorders between 14.5% and 33.7% in Western countries (Alonso and Lepine, 2007; Kessler et al., 2012), and global estimates across countries between 3.8% to 25.0% (Remes et al., 2016). 

Many more might have trait social anxiety which is not quite clinical yet still causes suffering. Indeed, trait social anxiety may have evolved to protect our ancestors from social threat. Similarly, generalized anxiety might have evolved to protect us from other threats. Thus, anxiety might be natural and very widespread."

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Y0Mc0pI-pDMQMPg8M4F0zA1KYiXuvW5q7MPXRH9sX7k/edit#bookmark=id.h2x1ikourvk6

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on A generalized strategy of ‘mission hedging’: investing in 'evil' to do more good · 2021-07-29T12:34:44.638Z · EA · GW

Very interesting- thanks for elaborating!

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on A generalized strategy of ‘mission hedging’: investing in 'evil' to do more good · 2021-07-28T16:17:34.293Z · EA · GW

I can't follow this either but a study cited in Radical Markets suggests that a randomly chosen portfolio of as few as fifty stocks achieves 90% of the diversification benefits available from full diversification across the entire market.

Given that FAANG's market cap  alone is already $3 trillion and for almost 10% of the U.S. stock market's total market capitalization of $31 trillion, AND you could further diversify then this, wouldn't you get quite a lot of the diversification benefits?

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on A generalized strategy of ‘mission hedging’: investing in 'evil' to do more good · 2021-07-28T15:58:20.111Z · EA · GW

@Jonas: I think your model is interesting, but if we define transformative AI like OpenPhil does (" AI that precipitates a transition comparable to (or more significant than) the agricultural or industrial revolution."), and you invest for mission hedging in a diversified portfolio of AI companies (and perhaps other inputs such as hardware) , then it seems conceivable to me to have much higher returns - perhaps 100x of crypto? This is the basic idea for mission hedging for AI, and in line with my prior, and I think this difference in returns might be why I find the results of your model, that Mission hedging wouldn't have a bigger effect, surprising. 

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Decreasing populism and improving democracy, evidence-based policy, and rationality · 2021-07-28T15:44:07.634Z · EA · GW

Excellent point.

I think there's a continuum going from highly educated to those that are most at risk of populism.

I haven't researched this carefully but my hunch is there are actually lots of translation of civic education memes to people who are at risk of populism (not only from experts). It seems to me that on the margin,  high-quality, easily -accessible information for educated people is more neglected.

related citation: IQ of the top 5% better at predicting GDP - does that suggest that increasing the epistemics of the TOP 5% is better than combating fake news? Cognitive Capitalism: The Effect of Cognitive Ability on Wealth, as Mediated Through Scientific Achievement and Economic Freedom

Stefan Schubert also thinks about this this sometimes:

https://stefanfschubert.com/blog/2020/10/20/fake-news-fighting-can-harm-elite-debates 

https://stefanfschubert.com/blog/2020/12/22/legitimate-epistocracy

 


 

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Decreasing populism and improving democracy, evidence-based policy, and rationality · 2021-07-28T15:30:09.132Z · EA · GW

Yes, excellent point.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Decreasing populism and improving democracy, evidence-based policy, and rationality · 2021-07-28T15:29:23.961Z · EA · GW

Yes, agree that there are some low-hanging fruit for economic reform and progress can be made. I actually cite OPP's macroeconomic stabilization policy efforts in the post that Alex Berger refers to. But as he says impact is hard to attribute, and given that their funding of this area seems somewhat small, I'd be surprised if you could lower interest rates of central banks significantly with only a few million dollars in advocacy funding. 

I agree that there's some progress on '"free-market progressive" policies on zoning reform, occupational licensing, and non-competes', and that there maybe is room for more progress.

But do you think it has  already translated into meaningful consumption increases in the lower income deciles?

There are some interesting numbers e.g. on land use reform in an FP report on zoning reform:

https://founderspledge.com/stories/housing-affordability-in-england-executive-summary

that suggest that the effects might be non-trivial if you can get them through. But I think one would have to do quite a bit of advocacy. For things like occupational licensing and zoning and non-compete, trade, macroeconomic policy you get quite strong push-back from vested interests and rent-seekers. 

As I say in the next sentence: "Economic policy is also not very neglected by various stakeholders (e.g. political parties have very strong opinions on trade policy).

This contrasts with other things like preventing misinformation, which it seems to me you can often make more progress on, with less backlash.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What are some skills useful for EA that one could learn in ~6 months? · 2021-06-30T15:36:53.036Z · EA · GW

Cheers- edited the original :)

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What are some skills useful for EA that one could learn in ~6 months? · 2021-06-29T14:10:33.333Z · EA · GW

Writing - especially this course:

https://www.coursera.org/learn/sciwrite

and this book:

https://www.amazon.co.uk/Philosophical-Writing-Introduction-P-Martinich/dp/1119010039

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on US bill limiting patient philanthropy? · 2021-06-25T14:57:57.523Z · EA · GW

If we were to increase annual percentage of the endowment foundations need to to payout from 5% to 10%, then endowments would be spent down because it exceeds usual investment returns.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What are some key numbers that (almost) every EA should know? · 2021-06-18T10:01:07.596Z · EA · GW

World population: ~7bn (India, China, Africa, Europe, the Americas, all have populations of ~1bn)

World GDP: ~$100trn (the EU, US, China all have GDPs of ~$20trn)

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What are some high-impact paths for a young person in the developing world? · 2021-06-14T13:24:32.248Z · EA · GW

This old post of mine on "Effective altruism in non-high-income countries" and the links in the comments might be helpful.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What are your favorite examples of moral heroism/altruism in movies and books? · 2021-04-27T18:40:39.252Z · EA · GW

Haven't watched it yet, but there's also a new documentary called "Hilleman" who was a leading American microbiologist who and developed over 40 vaccines, estimated to save 8 million lives each year. There's a biography as well.  He grew up in poverty on a farm in Montana, one of 8 children  and apparently had an "interesting" personality:  "Hilleman was a forceful man who was at the same time modest in his claims. None of his vaccines or discoveries are named after him. He ran his laboratory like a military unit, and he was the one in command. For a time, he kept a row of "shrunken heads" (actually fakes made by one of his children) in his office as trophies that represented each of his fired employees. He used profanity and tirades freely to drive his arguments home, and once, famously, refused to attend a mandatory "charm school" course intended to make Merck middle managers more civil. His subordinates were fiercely loyal to him." [source: wikipedia].

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What are the highest impact questions in the behavioral sciences? · 2021-04-07T21:28:16.379Z · EA · GW

My brain dump "Potential priority areas within cognitive sciences (psychology, neuroscience, and philosophy of mind)":

https://docs.google.com/document/d/12m_KDzKWfwQebrHGN4G4XCVIYPUHrm05Z6SB_loZr5w/edit

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on HaukeHillebrandt's Shortform · 2021-04-06T16:29:36.474Z · EA · GW

Working on human rights were just an example, because of the comparison you raised,  it could also be CSET type work.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Resources on the expected value of founding a for-profit start-up? · 2021-04-06T16:09:23.829Z · EA · GW

This report on Impact investing might also be helpful (I'm a co-author).

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on HaukeHillebrandt's Shortform · 2021-04-06T16:00:21.970Z · EA · GW

That was precisely my point actually—just like Hirsi Ali might be well-placed to advocate for women's rights within Islam, people from Hong Kong might be well placed to highlight e.g. human rights issues in China. 

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on HaukeHillebrandt's Shortform · 2021-04-06T12:58:15.051Z · EA · GW

~140,000 people from Hong Kong might move to the UK this year (~322k in total over the next 5 years [source]).  

Are they particularly well placed to work on Sino-Western relations? (Because they're better at bridging cultural (and linguistic) gap and are likely highly determined). Should we prioritize helping them somehow?

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Want to alleviate developing world poverty? Alleviate price risk.​ (2018) · 2021-03-23T12:01:39.433Z · EA · GW

Could there be a market inefficiency because financial speculation with agricultural commodities is perceived to be bad?

See for instance:

https://jai.pm-research.com/content/18/3/84/

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2405851317300405

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405851316300162 

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Law school vs MPP in Australia for those who have strong verbal skills but are weak at maths · 2021-03-23T11:31:46.017Z · EA · GW

I am told that quantitative analysis is an important part of an MPP

 

I recently heard of an MPA at Columbia that has a non-quantitative economics stream:

http://bulletin.columbia.edu/search/?P=SIPA%20U6300

http://bulletin.columbia.edu/search/?P=SIPA%20U6400 

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Please stand with the Asian diaspora · 2021-03-20T18:26:52.052Z · EA · GW

I agree that LAAUNCH seems quite high upside because they do research which I feel is often more neglected and can be quite high impact (e.g. they conduct "A comprehensive, national assessment of attitudes and stereotypes towards Asian Americans in the US – one of the few such studies in the last 20 years").

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on Please stand with the Asian diaspora · 2021-03-20T12:33:32.334Z · EA · GW

JPAL had some links to some orgs here:

Asian Americans Advancing Justice--Atlanta   
stopAAPIhate.org
hateisavirus.org
laaunch.org 

Edit: I also found Asian Americans Advancing Justice - this seems to be one of the biggest civil rights charities focusing on low income Asian Americans. They seem to have a good track record.  One can donate without paying any fees via PayPal Giving Fund here. 

Might also be worth to ask @chloecockburn who had some BLM recommendations.

Comment by HaukeHillebrandt on What do you make of the doomsday argument? · 2021-03-19T12:15:28.763Z · EA · GW

Related LessWrong discussion / paper