Comment by khorton on How Many People Will Climate Change Kill? [Video] · 2019-07-19T20:46:10.443Z · score: 4 (3 votes) · EA · GW

What temperature change does this assume? How do excess deaths scale with different degrees of warming?

Comment by khorton on EA Forum Prize: Winners for May 2019 · 2019-07-13T23:13:23.904Z · score: 7 (4 votes) · EA · GW

I don't know the answer, so I'm also kind of curious!

Comment by khorton on Want to Save the World? Enter the Priesthood · 2019-07-12T23:11:02.082Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

The set of tools EA provides for considering how to help others, and the network/community, could be useful for any altruist.

Utilitarianism is less compatible with Catholicism.

Comment by khorton on Changes to EA Funds management teams (June 2019) · 2019-07-10T07:27:04.691Z · score: -6 (9 votes) · EA · GW

Thanks for the update. I'm disappointed there's been so much turnover. I feel like we get new staff at the Funds more often than we get actual grant distributions!

Comment by khorton on I find this forum increasingly difficult to navigate · 2019-07-05T15:47:50.654Z · score: 34 (13 votes) · EA · GW

I am very torn because on the one hand, I really want to appreciate people's hard work, but on the other hand, just because people work hard doesn't mean their work has actually improved the Forum.

It's important to be kind, but it's also important to be honest. While I think this post could have been better, the most important thing is that it exists at all. And it's important that it's not just a feature request - it's important that the post is clear that some people think the site is getting worse overall.

Comment by khorton on Should we talk about altruism or talk about justice? · 2019-07-05T07:30:40.418Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

That's definitely true of Obama, but I'm not sure everyone on the left agrees. I think some of Obama's tactics were horrifying, and would support much more liberal immigration, even though I consider myself centre left.

Comment by khorton on Advice for an Undergrad · 2019-07-03T16:07:09.360Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

It might have been the career advice group, but I'm not sure.

Comment by khorton on Advice for an Undergrad · 2019-07-03T07:50:11.434Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

I'm sure there was a 'What should I major in?' thread on Facebook, but I don't have time to find it now.

If you have a spare elective, I'd suggest taking a class in educational psychology. It'll help you learn how to learn (if you can apply what you learn about teenagers to yourself).

Comment by khorton on Corporate Global Catastrophic Risks (C-GCRs) · 2019-07-01T22:01:36.724Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

I was only interested in regulatory capture, so I only read point number 4. I saw some evidence that regulatory capture is increasing, but no support for your statement that this increase is exponential.

Comment by khorton on Effective Altruism is an Ideology, not (just) a Question · 2019-06-30T17:33:53.469Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

I misunderstood - thanks for clarifying!

Comment by khorton on Effective Altruism is an Ideology, not (just) a Question · 2019-06-30T08:27:46.756Z · score: 13 (7 votes) · EA · GW

This is a good question, but it makes a bit of a leap, and I don't think answers to it should have been included in the original article. The article doesn't actually say EA shouldn't be ideological, just that it is. I read it as descriptive, not prescriptive. I think the article was strong just pointing out ideological aspects of EA and letting readers think about whether they're happy with that.

Comment by khorton on Effective Altruism is an Ideology, not (just) a Question · 2019-06-29T10:41:41.976Z · score: 2 (3 votes) · EA · GW

I'm not sure it's possible for me to distinguish between tech and social change. How can I talk about women's rights without talking about birth control (or even just tampons!)?

Comment by khorton on Effective Altruism is an Ideology, not (just) a Question · 2019-06-28T19:04:59.493Z · score: 23 (9 votes) · EA · GW

I think many of us want EA to be more of a question than an ideology, but if we try to describe how the community works today, it's better described as an ideology than just a question.

Comment by khorton on EA Forum Prize: Winners for April 2019 · 2019-06-27T07:12:23.266Z · score: 9 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Reading to read and reading to choose a winner are different tasks, so even if Aaron chose a winner, I would be surprised if it didn't create a significant amount of extra work.

Comment by khorton on EA Forum Prize: Winners for April 2019 · 2019-06-26T22:37:40.160Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

That sounds like a ton of work. There are a LOT of comments.

Comment by khorton on Ways Frugality Increases Productivity · 2019-06-25T21:42:15.323Z · score: 34 (15 votes) · EA · GW

Argument 1 makes sense. Arguments 2 and 3 mostly seem like arguments against having a life outside of work - am I reading that right?

Comment by khorton on Crowdfunding for Effective Climate Policy · 2019-06-24T12:27:36.410Z · score: 6 (4 votes) · EA · GW

Also, regulation has similar drawbacks to carbon taxes in that it doesn't induce innovation which is the crucial consideration of this report.

I'm confused. If Government says, "You must do X" and X is currently very expensive, then companies will absolutely find innovative ways to do X.

Comment by khorton on Rationality, EA and being a movement · 2019-06-23T00:02:37.623Z · score: 7 (4 votes) · EA · GW

I agree that I don't think we ignore good ideas from anonymous posts. I think it's true that we distance ourselves from controversial figures, which might be what OP means by low status?

Comment by khorton on What new EA project or org would you like to see created in the next 3 years? · 2019-06-15T22:16:52.226Z · score: 7 (4 votes) · EA · GW

This is fascinating. I don't know if it's a good idea or a terrible idea, which is why I haven't upvoted or downvoted it, but it's a very interesting idea.

Comment by khorton on EA Mental Health Survey: Results and Analysis. · 2019-06-13T06:22:46.793Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Neat study! Can you explain the x-axis for questions 5/6 please?

Comment by khorton on Crowdfunding for Effective Climate Policy · 2019-06-11T18:50:46.881Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

I mean that all research has significant bias based on the researcher's beliefs and theoretical framework, especially in the social sciences. Some methodologies are more robust than others, and some researchers do a better job of being aware of and clear about their own point of view, but everyone makes choices about how to answer a research question which tend to change the answer you get.

I assume Hauke means something like "not funded by oil and gas," but I read "completely objective and rational," which I just don't think is possible.

Comment by khorton on Crowdfunding for Effective Climate Policy · 2019-06-11T17:11:16.765Z · score: 1 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Note: The word 'unbiased' sets off very loud alarm bells for me. I trust you, so I know you're using it with good intentions, but if a stranger talked about investing in 'unbiased research' I'd think they're either naïve or selling something. All research is biased.

Comment by khorton on Cash prizes for the best arguments against psychedelics being an EA cause area · 2019-06-02T19:50:30.496Z · score: 6 (4 votes) · EA · GW

Because the competition ends tomorrow, I'm curious: Did any of these arguments change your views? Did people say what you expected them to say? Did you get what you wanted out of this exercise? What do you think the next steps are?

Comment by khorton on Is trauma a potential EA cause area? · 2019-05-31T23:28:54.918Z · score: 2 (3 votes) · EA · GW

"You could imagine an experiment where there are X "trauma-free" people"

I cannot imagine that experiment. I've never met someone who hasn't experienced something at least mildly traumatic.

Comment by khorton on EA Survey 2018 Series: How Long Do EAs Stay in EA? · 2019-05-31T23:22:39.667Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Peter, when you drifted away from the atheist movement, do you feel like your values and beliefs changed, or was it more about unsubscribing from newsletters and prioritizing different blogs and events?

Comment by khorton on EA Survey 2018 Series: How Long Do EAs Stay in EA? · 2019-05-31T23:11:49.745Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

To what extent are these the same populations? How many people who took the census also took the pledge?

Comment by khorton on EA Survey 2018 Series: How Long Do EAs Stay in EA? · 2019-05-31T23:10:56.507Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Point of clarification: Those focus groups were specifically focused on people who do attend events, not people who left.

Comment by khorton on EA Survey 2018 Series: How Long Do EAs Stay in EA? · 2019-05-31T20:42:41.272Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

My answer is even more mundane: maybe people don't give up on the EA ideas, they just stop spending time on the EA census.

Comment by khorton on Considering people’s hidden motives in EA outreach · 2019-05-31T20:39:26.129Z · score: 6 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Cross-reference this 80,000 Hours article of advice for people starting their career, especially #4, #8, and #14: https://80000hours.org/2019/04/career-advice-i-wish-id-been-given-when-i-was-young/

"Many years ago a friend suggested that for people trying to have a big impact, there might be no more cost-effective self-improvement investment than enrolling in Toastmasters and buying a gym membership. If I were more rational I’d take this advice, and in general the effective altruism community might invest too little in superficial improvements, such as appearance and charisma."

Comment by khorton on Should we Resist Taxes? · 2019-05-30T19:14:43.457Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

I don't know any charities that pay police or build roads. I also don't think those things should be funded by charities; I think public goods should be funded from the public purse.

Comment by khorton on Should we Resist Taxes? · 2019-05-30T18:36:15.434Z · score: 3 (4 votes) · EA · GW

I agree with Brian.

Comment by khorton on Why do you downvote EA Forum posts & comments? · 2019-05-29T23:23:27.044Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · EA · GW

I don't think I'm a typical user, though. I largely agree with the boo/yay theory, based on my experiences with diversity posts.

Comment by khorton on Why do you downvote EA Forum posts & comments? · 2019-05-29T23:15:27.575Z · score: 19 (9 votes) · EA · GW

In order of frequency:

-I strong downvote spam (weekly)

-I downvote people for antisocial behaviour, like name calling (monthly)

-I sometimes downvote comments that are obviously unhelpful or wrong (I'll usually explain why, if no one else has) (every couple of months)

-I occasionally downvote posts if I don't think they're the type of thing that should be on the Forum (for example, they're very poorly written, very incorrect, or offensive) (a couple times a year)

Comment by khorton on What exactly is the system EA's critics are seeking to change? · 2019-05-29T23:08:38.930Z · score: 2 (3 votes) · EA · GW

I agree there are beliefs and belief systems that EA is incompatible with, although my post wasn't coming from a place of anti-capitalism: even with my leftist hat on, all I would want is to regulate global market failures.

It's a pretty big leap to hear "global markets make the rich richer and the poor poorer" and assume communism :)

Comment by khorton on [Question] 20,000/40,000 Hours- MidCareer Options · 2019-05-29T20:26:55.750Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · EA · GW

I agree this is an understudied area, but I also think it will be harder to give generic care advice to people with wildly different experiences than to give generic career advice to 22-year-old Ivy League graduates. That said, I'd welcome any career advice you dig up for mid-career pivots!

Comment by khorton on What exactly is the system EA's critics are seeking to change? · 2019-05-29T20:17:46.401Z · score: 2 (5 votes) · EA · GW

Downvoted because this is rude

Comment by khorton on What exactly is the system EA's critics are seeking to change? · 2019-05-29T11:51:00.055Z · score: 3 (4 votes) · EA · GW

I'm fairly centrist, but if I put my leftist hat on, the thing that feels worst about global development EA is the lack of context.

EA often celebrates individuals who give a lot of money, without recognising where that money comes from. We don't openly acknowledge how much money Britain and America have gained from the Global South, both in the past and right now. Sure, trade deficits are complicated, but on the surface we're getting a lot more than we give, and we get a significant amount of interest from developing world debt.

Sure, it's great when rich people donate to help poor people, but why are the rich rich, and why are the poor poor? EA is always very quiet about that. Maybe we can't change global economic systems, but it would nice if we could acknowledge that they're the backdrop to everything we do.

Comment by khorton on Crowdfunding for Effective Climate Policy · 2019-05-28T10:56:55.814Z · score: 4 (5 votes) · EA · GW

I agree that clean energy innovation is important, I'm just uncertain about focusing significantly on basic research as opposed to taking new innovations to market and driving down the price. Might be better discussed in person.

Comment by khorton on Crowdfunding for Effective Climate Policy · 2019-05-28T08:41:16.428Z · score: 2 (9 votes) · EA · GW

"Public clean energy R&D is neglected: only $22 billion is spent per year globally compared to $140 billion spent on clean energy deployment subsidies and trillions spent on energy."

Just a note to say that spending money on R&D, developing a useful technology, and then not spending money to deploy it is a very silly idea :) We should probably not spend as much on R&D as we do on deployment, unless we're driving deployment another way, eg through regulation.

Have you talked to anyone from government about their views on this?

Comment by khorton on Cash prizes for the best arguments against psychedelics being an EA cause area · 2019-05-27T17:19:39.637Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

In general, I'm not sure people who have tried psychedelics are overrepresented in far future work, if you control for relevant factors like income and religious affiliation. What makes you think increasing the number of people who experience a change in their metaphysical assumptions due to psychedelic drugs will increase the number of people working on the far future?

Comment by khorton on Cash prizes for the best arguments against psychedelics being an EA cause area · 2019-05-26T20:27:09.291Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · EA · GW

This was a really interesting and well-written thread! To clarify, Milan, is your argument that psychedelics would make people more altruistic, and therefore they'd start working on protecting the long term future? I didn't quite understand your argument from the OP.

Comment by khorton on Cash prizes for the best arguments against psychedelics being an EA cause area · 2019-05-24T07:40:35.332Z · score: 5 (4 votes) · EA · GW

Semantic point: I can't see any way that psychedelics are a 'cause area'. Either they're one of many possible interventions in the cause area of mental health, or they're one of many interventions in the cause area of the long term future, or possibly both. The psychedelics are means to an end, not an end in themselves.

Comment by khorton on Why do EA events attract more men than women? Focus group data · 2019-05-22T18:22:12.350Z · score: 7 (4 votes) · EA · GW

I'd be really happy if someone interviewed some people who decided to stop attending EA events and asked about interests as part of their research. It seems worth investigating, although I'm sceptical about gender essentialism as a rule. The different interests hypothesis also doesn't really explain why women are equally likely to attend lectures on EA topics, but less likely to attend EA London-hosted Disney princess movie marathons (or any EAL social events).

Comment by khorton on Why do EA events attract more men than women? Focus group data · 2019-05-21T22:05:06.892Z · score: 6 (6 votes) · EA · GW

I think the text used in the survey is indicative of Effective Altruism, which is why your response that it doesn't count confused me.

Comment by khorton on Why do EA events attract more men than women? Focus group data · 2019-05-21T20:36:06.310Z · score: 7 (5 votes) · EA · GW

So you're saying it's not possible to tell if men or women are more intuitively drawn to the ideas of EA, unless we have a survey that communicates EA principles more clearly (such as by providing unintuitive examples of cost-effectiveness)?

Comment by khorton on Why do EA events attract more men than women? Focus group data · 2019-05-21T19:46:56.425Z · score: 10 (5 votes) · EA · GW

What do you think does count as being interested in EA, if not the ideas that survey respondents evaluated?

Comment by khorton on Why do EA events attract more men than women? Focus group data · 2019-05-21T07:42:06.056Z · score: 11 (15 votes) · EA · GW

That hypothesis is not supported by the available evidence. The focus group found no difference in level of interest in EA ideas. This survey from last year found women self-reported to be more generous and, even controlling for generosity, more open to the ideas of EA. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MDxaD688pATMnjwmB/to-grow-a-healthy-movement-pick-the-low-hanging-fruit

Comment by khorton on Why do EA events attract more men than women? Focus group data · 2019-05-21T07:38:56.494Z · score: 4 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Certainly one of the hypotheses I was exploring was that men and women might benefit in different ways. In this case, I didn't find any evidence that women were less interested in the ideas of EA than men - the results were very similar.

Comment by khorton on How to use the Forum · 2019-05-18T18:52:31.184Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

Ugh, thank you. What a nightmare!

Comment by khorton on How to use the Forum · 2019-05-18T13:36:13.487Z · score: 13 (3 votes) · EA · GW

As an update, I realized it's a markdown editor, looked up instructions of how to format stuff, and hated every minute of it. It's such a disincentive for me to post stuff!

Why do EA events attract more men than women? Focus group data

2019-05-18T13:29:24.187Z · score: 70 (36 votes)

What skills would you like 1-5 EAs to develop?

2019-03-01T11:01:11.654Z · score: 30 (24 votes)

Are men more likely to attend EA London events? Attendance data, 2016-2018.

2018-08-09T15:51:29.187Z · score: 36 (34 votes)

Effective Volunteering

2018-01-24T16:09:11.731Z · score: 15 (12 votes)

Changing the Government's Approach to Catastrophic Risks

2017-10-10T14:09:50.556Z · score: 5 (7 votes)