Posts

Please Take the 2019 EA Survey! 2019-09-23T17:36:35.084Z · score: 47 (22 votes)
GiveWell's Top Charities Are Increasingly Hard to Beat 2019-07-10T00:34:52.510Z · score: 39 (19 votes)
EA Survey 2018 Series: Do EA Survey Takers Keep Their GWWC Pledge? 2019-06-16T23:04:46.626Z · score: 69 (20 votes)
Is EA Growing? EA Growth Metrics for 2018 2019-06-02T04:08:30.726Z · score: 168 (65 votes)
EA Survey 2018 Series: How Long Do EAs Stay in EA? 2019-05-31T00:32:20.989Z · score: 50 (25 votes)
Rethink Priorities Plans for 2019 2018-12-18T00:18:31.987Z · score: 62 (41 votes)
Open Thread #40 2018-07-08T17:51:47.777Z · score: 8 (10 votes)
Animal Equality showed that advocating for diet change works. But is it cost-effective? 2018-06-07T04:06:02.831Z · score: 23 (20 votes)
Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccines: Appendices and Endnotes 2018-05-08T07:43:43.262Z · score: 8 (9 votes)
Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccines: Exploring Model Uncertainty and Takeaways 2018-05-08T07:42:53.369Z · score: 10 (9 votes)
What is the cost-effectiveness of researching vaccines? 2018-05-08T07:41:10.595Z · score: 9 (8 votes)
How much does it cost to roll-out a vaccine? 2018-02-26T15:33:03.710Z · score: 6 (6 votes)
How much does it cost to research and develop a vaccine? 2018-02-24T01:23:33.601Z · score: 7 (7 votes)
What is Animal Farming in Rural Zambia Like? A Site Visit 2018-02-19T20:49:45.024Z · score: 15 (14 votes)
Four Organizations EAs Should Fully Fund for 2018 2017-12-12T07:17:14.418Z · score: 39 (42 votes)
Is EA Growing? Some EA Growth Metrics for 2017 2017-09-05T23:36:39.591Z · score: 19 (17 votes)
How long does it take to research and develop a new vaccine? 2017-06-28T23:20:04.289Z · score: 11 (11 votes)
Can we apply start-up investing principles to non-profits? 2017-06-27T03:16:49.074Z · score: 33 (24 votes)
The 2017 Effective Altruism Survey - Please Take! 2017-04-24T21:01:26.039Z · score: 10 (10 votes)
How do EA Orgs Account for Uncertainty in their Analysis? 2017-04-05T16:48:45.220Z · score: 8 (10 votes)
How Should I Spend My Time? 2017-01-08T03:22:46.745Z · score: 13 (13 votes)
Effective Altruism is Not a Competition 2017-01-05T02:11:23.505Z · score: 25 (27 votes)
Semi-regular Open Thread #35 2016-12-30T22:28:48.381Z · score: 9 (9 votes)
Why I Took the Giving What We Can Pledge 2016-12-28T00:02:57.065Z · score: 17 (17 votes)
The Value of Time Spent Fundraising: Four Examples 2016-12-23T04:35:25.797Z · score: 7 (7 votes)
What is the expected value of creating a GiveWell top charity? 2016-12-18T02:02:16.774Z · score: 10 (10 votes)
How many hits does hits-based giving get? A concrete study idea to find out (and a $1500 offer for implementation) 2016-12-09T03:08:25.796Z · score: 13 (13 votes)
Thoughts on the Reducetarian Labs MTurk Study 2016-12-02T17:12:44.731Z · score: 13 (13 votes)
Using a Spreadsheet to Make Good Decisions: Five Examples 2016-11-26T02:21:29.740Z · score: 37 (23 votes)
Students for High Impact Charity: Review and $10K Grant 2016-09-27T21:05:44.340Z · score: 15 (17 votes)
A Method for Automatic Trustworthiness in Study Pre-Registration 2016-09-25T04:22:38.817Z · score: 12 (11 votes)
Using Amazon's Mechanical Turk for Animal Advocacy Studies: Opportunities and Challenges 2016-08-02T19:24:58.259Z · score: 12 (11 votes)
Five Ways to Handle Flow-Through Effects 2016-07-28T03:39:44.235Z · score: 22 (14 votes)
End-Relational Theory of Meta-ethics: A Dialogue 2016-06-28T20:11:52.534Z · score: 1 (8 votes)
How should we prioritize cause prioritization? 2016-06-13T17:03:45.558Z · score: 12 (9 votes)
A Case for Empirical Cause Prioritization 2016-06-06T17:32:43.818Z · score: 12 (13 votes)
Global poverty could be more cost-effective than animal advocacy (even for non-speciesists) 2016-05-31T15:02:32.339Z · score: 10 (14 votes)
More Thoughts (and Analysis) on the Mercy For Animals Online Ads Study 2016-05-27T03:00:29.228Z · score: 13 (13 votes)
.impact's pivot to focus projects 2016-04-29T19:59:47.775Z · score: 14 (8 votes)
Is EA growing? A concrete study idea to find out (and a $100 offer for implementation) 2016-02-21T21:42:28.036Z · score: 16 (18 votes)
Do EAs underestimate opportunities to create many small benefits? 2016-01-25T04:20:10.880Z · score: 11 (13 votes)
EA risks falling into a "meta trap". But we can avoid it. 2015-08-25T15:22:26.620Z · score: 44 (51 votes)
Peter Hurford thinks that a large proportion of people should earn to give long term 2015-08-17T15:42:07.612Z · score: 47 (50 votes)
Moral Economics in Practice: Musing on Acausal Payments through Donations 2015-08-12T17:41:12.855Z · score: 6 (6 votes)
Peter's 2015 Q2 Personal Review 2015-07-21T18:17:04.171Z · score: 5 (7 votes)
Join .impact's Third Workathon this Sunday at Noon Pacific 2015-07-19T00:02:18.999Z · score: 2 (2 votes)
Meetup : .impact's Third Workathon 2015-07-18T23:59:31.012Z · score: 0 (0 votes)
Looking for EA work for your spare time? Look at (and add to) this list! 2015-07-12T20:07:20.000Z · score: 9 (11 votes)
Peter's 2015 Q1 Personal Review 2015-04-25T01:33:26.380Z · score: 2 (2 votes)
We might be getting a lot of new EAs. What are we going to do when they arrive? 2015-03-25T15:41:49.269Z · score: 17 (17 votes)

Comments

Comment by peter_hurford on Problems in effective altruism and what to do about them · 2019-10-19T15:43:58.285Z · score: 11 (4 votes) · EA · GW

But what Bostom wrote is not just an "inflated impressive-sounding thing". He seems to have falsely claimed setting a national record in undergraduate performance. Does Peter consider false claims about setting academic records to be an acceptable practice?

I don't know. It still is very unfair to not hear from Bostrom - or even ask Bostrom! - what he meant by this.

Comment by peter_hurford on Problems in effective altruism and what to do about them · 2019-10-19T15:42:45.016Z · score: 2 (4 votes) · EA · GW

Also, if everyone who wrote one-sided and/or misleading articles in EA had to be kicked out of EA, we'd have a very small movement. :P

Comment by peter_hurford on Problems in effective altruism and what to do about them · 2019-10-19T15:41:12.162Z · score: 12 (5 votes) · EA · GW

It should be noted that Peter was profiled by William MacAskill (one of the main subjects of this post) in Quartz and was one of the few people profiled in William's book Doing Good Better.

I don't get what you're implying and I don't see this as a source of bias. This was mainly just about being in the right place at the right time, but I interact with Will very infrequently, get no personal benefit from helping Will, and suffer no harms from criticizing Will, and am currently not associated with Will in any way. I like Will, but that's solely because of Will being likable, not because of any background conspiracy.

Comment by peter_hurford on Problems in effective altruism and what to do about them · 2019-10-19T05:14:57.038Z · score: 42 (16 votes) · EA · GW

I downvoted. I'll just say I'm all for criticizing EA. I have little allegiance to the people criticized here and if this was good criticism I would be one of the first people to say it. There is great criticism of EA out there. This is not it. These concerns are a trumped up and petty drama piece.

By the points: guidelines to not encourage people to try to end the world seem very reasonable, "creat[ing] syllabi with writings by themselves and those who agree with them" also sounds super standard, I do personally consider Will a "cofounder of the effective altruism movement", I have no idea what Nick Bostrom’s CV is about but putting inflated impressive-sounding things on a CV is also super typical, and the ghost writing sounds super benign even after the author made a big deal about it and then had to retract it.

Also this essay made essentially no attempt to verify claims or provide people who are accused a right of reply, which I consider very bad practice. I also don't think the author is at risk of death for writing this essay and think the reasoning for not attempting to do more to verify claims and provide a right of reply is irresponsible and lazy.

Comment by peter_hurford on How we think about the Forum · 2019-10-16T16:09:24.751Z · score: 14 (8 votes) · EA · GW

I'd just like to +1 that SEO could be very valuable.

More generally, I'd like to see more work into solving the "lost content" problem. My guess is that great posts from last year are rarely read or remembered today while they might still be rather relevant. “Best posts since you last visited” could be helpful, but so would SEO and also maybe tags.

Comment by peter_hurford on How to do EA Global well? How can one act during EA Global so as to make the most effective changes afterwards? · 2019-10-16T15:39:59.489Z · score: 14 (8 votes) · EA · GW

Most but not all talks are recorded and you can watch them later. "My current plan is to largely try and meet people" sounds like a good plan to me. The meetups can be an especially good venue for this.

Comment by peter_hurford on Please Take the 2019 EA Survey! · 2019-10-15T16:22:49.528Z · score: 7 (2 votes) · EA · GW

The EA Survey is closing today! Please take! https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/EASEAForum

Comment by peter_hurford on Defending Philanthropy Against Democracy · 2019-10-07T16:09:35.382Z · score: -1 (8 votes) · EA · GW

I disagree.

Comment by peter_hurford on Defending Philanthropy Against Democracy · 2019-10-07T16:08:58.766Z · score: 11 (6 votes) · EA · GW

I appreciate you taking the time to outline these and I am certainly very sympathetic to your view, but I find your arguments to be strawmen and I don't believe they succeed.

Any decision is an exertion of power: specifically, the power to make the actual decision made instead of some other decision. Whenever one spends money (to take the clearest case), one exercises power insofar as one directs that money to one of many possible ends, either philanthropic (give the money to GiveWell), “democratic” (give the money to the United States government, whose budget is supposedly determined democratically), or selfish (spend the money on candy).

To be clear, I agree that these are morally weighty decisions. I am not convinced, however, that (from a public policy standpoint) philanthropic dispositions ought to be subject to greater moral scrutiny than selfish dispositions. Such added scrutiny seems to perversely disincentivize altruistic dispositions.

Insofar as liberalism is a standard starting assumption for our discourse, I think philanthropy critics have failed to argue why philanthropic decisions deserve greater scrutiny than other private decisions of similar magnitude, such as how much money to spend on various personal goods.

My understanding is that the view in question here is that philanthropy is subverting the proper role of government by enacting policy, such as designing private schools to replace public schools. Selfish spending may be a bad use of resources, but it doesn't affect other people's lives (at least not on conventional morality where "failing to act" is not considered a relevant issue) the same way philanthropy does. Philanthropy ends up uniquely suspect because of it replacing what is viewed as the role of government and affecting people from a policy perspective without giving them (democratic) representation.

~

Of course, one could (and maybe should) argue the current charity law system is flawed. But note that this is no longer a procedural criticism: it is a criticism of the substantive merits of a system designed by democratic forces. Our democracy could refuse to incentivize or even disallow philanthropy, but it has refused to do so.

I don't think people in favor of democracy would argue that any system democracy has currently put in place is the ideal... they would allow for the idea that maybe things have gotten out of hand more recently as the rich got richer and the philanthropy got more blatant (note: I'm not sure if this is an actual trend but it certainly is a perceived trend) and so we need to intervene now. This view seems perfectly consistent to me.

~

More seriously: in the absence of a global democracy, I think the right thing to do is not “delegate to the biggest democracy you can.”

I don't think anyone is arguing that the goal is to delegate to the biggest possible democracy.

~

I find that in this discussion there is a very uncomfortable elision between “democracy” as an abstract virtue and “democracy” in practice, by which critics usually mean the American government.

My understanding is that the view in question here is that decisions being made in a community ought to be governed by that community. National government seems to be a perfectly reasonable level of view here, though it could (and would and should) involve state and local governments too. I think the pro-democracy people want governance by the people and communities affected, not mere democracy-for-the-sake-of-democracy.

Comment by peter_hurford on Please Take the 2019 EA Survey! · 2019-10-01T23:01:06.133Z · score: 4 (3 votes) · EA · GW

(^David runs the survey in case that isn't clear. I approve this message.)

Comment by peter_hurford on Please Take the 2019 EA Survey! · 2019-10-01T20:00:14.184Z · score: 4 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Hi. I think it would be best for you to report donations made in calendar year 2019 in the forthcoming 2020 EA Survey (that will ask about 2019 donations) and for this year enter 0, but make a note of your bunching strategy in the "Any other additional details you'd like to share" section if you would like to note it.

Comment by peter_hurford on The Germy Paradox – The empty sky: How close did we get to BW usage? · 2019-09-28T04:16:59.809Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Do China and North Korea have bioweapons?

Comment by peter_hurford on Please Take the 2019 EA Survey! · 2019-09-24T15:29:03.027Z · score: 28 (14 votes) · EA · GW

Hi Khorton,

Thanks for your comment. We’d be happy to talk to any data scientists in the EA community who would like to suggest ways to improve our anonymization practices. We have taken a lot of steps this year and last year to ensure anonymization. We remove respondent names, contact information and city, as well as removing or replacing open comment responses with broad categories. We will also take other items like country and income and replace them with bins. Finally, if there is any question the answer to which you think might identify you or which you feel uncomfortable being made public for any other reason, you can decline to answer it.

It’s worth noting that I am a “data scientist in the EA community” and also that we talked to someone with specific security and privacy expertise. We also had the survey vetted by CEA’s team, including working with a lawyer with expertise in GDPR.

We hope this can earn your trust that the survey successfully protects your privacy with best practices. If not, we’d love to discuss further to ensure this is useful for the community. Thanks!

Comment by peter_hurford on What should Founders Pledge research? · 2019-09-10T16:30:59.589Z · score: 7 (4 votes) · EA · GW

I should probably only speak for myself and not the entire team, but I think the breakdown is something like:

Where do they land on IIT?

Quite skeptical / lean against

~

Where do they land on panpsychism?

Quite skeptical / lean against

~

What premises would I have to hold to agree with their conclusions?

The key assumptions are:

(1) epiphenomenalism (in the traditional sense) is false

(2) methodological naturalism

(3) "inference to the best explanation" is a worthwhile method in this case

~

here are some open questions about consciousness that are cruxy, here's where [our organization] ended up on each of those questions, here are some things that could change our mind

We largely chose not to do this because we mostly just agree with what Luke wrote and didn't think we would be able to meaningfully improve upon it.

Comment by peter_hurford on What should Founders Pledge research? · 2019-09-10T16:25:55.574Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Yeah, I'd recommend reading that essay, the feature reports, and also the cause profile.

Comment by peter_hurford on Is promoting veganism neglected and if so what is the most effective way of promoting it? · 2019-08-23T17:29:05.340Z · score: 2 (3 votes) · EA · GW

One good place to start might be Animal Charity Evaluators.

Comment by peter_hurford on List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading · 2019-08-22T19:26:28.218Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Do you have any thoughts on how we should change our current approach, if at all, to using and interpreting CEEs in light of these issues?

Comment by peter_hurford on List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading · 2019-08-22T19:26:04.058Z · score: 9 (3 votes) · EA · GW

I think this would make a great reference checklist for anyone developing CEEs to go through as they write up their CEE and indirect effects sections.

Comment by peter_hurford on Ask Me Anything! · 2019-08-19T18:21:43.394Z · score: 5 (4 votes) · EA · GW

Can you speak to the expected value/impact (either marginal or total) of writing a book?

Comment by peter_hurford on [Links] Tangible actions to support Hong Kong protestors from afar · 2019-08-19T15:20:44.486Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

I'm unsure of the impact. I think that while Hong Kong is China's main connection to US trade, Hong Kong is now only 3% of the GDP of China and China seems increasingly willing to forgo trade with the US and this act may just further push China away from trade. I could see the sign of implementing this going either way and think we'd have to do more analysis first.

Comment by peter_hurford on [Links] Tangible actions to support Hong Kong protestors from afar · 2019-08-19T02:13:20.760Z · score: 11 (5 votes) · EA · GW

Given that mainland China is trying hard to paint the Hong Kong protests as foreign-manufactured, it might be worth second guessing attempts for foreigners to endorse or otherwise help the protests. However, I'm unsure to what extent this consideration should cut against reasons for supporting.

Comment by peter_hurford on Ask Me Anything! · 2019-08-14T23:53:11.468Z · score: 44 (28 votes) · EA · GW

What have you changed your mind on recently?

Comment by peter_hurford on Ask Me Anything! · 2019-08-14T23:52:51.940Z · score: 50 (31 votes) · EA · GW

What do you think the typical EA Forum reader is most likely wrong about?

Comment by peter_hurford on Ask Me Anything! · 2019-08-14T23:52:08.441Z · score: 23 (17 votes) · EA · GW

What has been your biggest success? What has been your biggest mistake?

Comment by peter_hurford on Interview with Michael Tye about invertebrate consciousness · 2019-08-11T23:07:44.905Z · score: 8 (5 votes) · EA · GW

However, there do appear to be very clear behavioral capabilities differences between C. elegans and other invertebrates (e.g., honeybees) as can be seen in our invertebrate sentience table.

Comment by peter_hurford on The EA Forum is a News Feed · 2019-07-29T18:01:25.283Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

But I think first and foremost it is important to be "low touch" - my guess is that the population of EA Forum readers who wants subforums is a minority and hopefully they can be satisfied enough by growing to use tags while the majority* who like the forum as-is won't have to see a big change.

"low touch" also helps minimize needed dev time - tags and browsing do not seem nearly as difficult to implement.

When you consider more relevant costs that I mention in addition to the benefits, does that change how you think of tags as a solution? Or maybe you thought of these already?

~~

*though again, guessing here - I don't have actual user data.

Comment by peter_hurford on The EA Forum is a News Feed · 2019-07-29T15:43:09.300Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

I'm thinking clicking on a tag would show you only posts with that tag, which would basically be a subforum of sorts.

Comment by peter_hurford on The EA Forum is a News Feed · 2019-07-28T23:02:33.392Z · score: 27 (16 votes) · EA · GW

It sounds like maybe a low-touch / low-effort way of resolving this issue would be a more robust tagging system for posts? So that you could just tag your post "careers" "biosecurity" for other people to easily find it? And anyone interested in biosecurity could browse (or even subscribe to) the "biosecurity" tag?

I do think lost content is a big issue, especially given that it seems surprisingly difficult to find EA Forum content via online search.

Reminds me of the discussion in this piece (which was ironically hard to find).

Comment by peter_hurford on Is EA Growing? EA Growth Metrics for 2018 · 2019-07-28T19:06:15.785Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

Impact adjusting is fairly values sensitive and may differ dramatically even between EAs, which is why I'd prefer to report raw data and let other people attempt their own impact adjustments on top of it.

I don't think you get enough information from pageview tracking to be able to impact adjust each pageview, but perhaps you could track engagement hours (as 80K does) or engagement on particular target pages. Additionally you could impact adjust based on source (e.g., weighing growth in 80K pageviews higher than growth in Future Perfect pageviews).

The pledge counts and donation totals also likely lend themselves to impact adjusting fairly well, as you could impact adjust based on charities donated to (most of the raw data to do this is available) or the kind of pledge taken.

Comment by peter_hurford on EA Forum Prize: Winners for June 2019 · 2019-07-28T00:04:47.434Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · EA · GW

See https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/u55Misp5ZjtkTQrXQ/ea-forum-prize-winners-for-june-2019#fDmiPdXBgA99oPp5g

Comment by peter_hurford on EA Forum Prize: Winners for June 2019 · 2019-07-28T00:03:55.898Z · score: 22 (8 votes) · EA · GW

I'd just point out from the perspective of running a research org that has produced multiple posts that win the Prize (Rethink Priorities), I do find the Prize to be very motivating and really value getting a quick "elite commonsense" take on whether our research is valuable.

(Disclaimer: I am also a judge in this contest but I do not vote on Rethink Priorities content.)

Comment by peter_hurford on EA Forum Prize: Winners for June 2019 · 2019-07-27T22:47:27.678Z · score: 14 (7 votes) · EA · GW

Just to explain why I voted for this piece as one of the judges... I like career profiles that emphasize opportunities in a space that I don't think many people considered. Especially careers that might scalably employ a large number of EAs. I personally don't think the OpenPhil-affiliated authorship was a key determinant of my judging decision, but it may have played a small role in the decision. I disagree that it "would have been impossible to write when not coming from an established organization". I agree with Aaron that "Aligning Recommender Systems" falls in a similar category for me. Similarly, this post on plant-based food jobs also felt similarly helpful to me.

Comment by peter_hurford on Ought: why it matters and ways to help · 2019-07-26T02:19:30.821Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Thanks for this interesting article - I really like seeing people write up explanations for lesser known ways to do lots of good.

My nitpick:

You can read their 2018H2 update here.

This link is broken for me. I think it was supposed to go to https://ought.org/updates/2018-12-31-progress-update

Comment by peter_hurford on What posts you are planning on writing? · 2019-07-25T22:44:17.124Z · score: 7 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Where Does EA take root?

You may have seen that we analyzed this a bit as part of the EA Survey. I'm curious what data source you have?

Comment by peter_hurford on Three Jobs for Policy-Oriented EAs · 2019-07-24T15:13:24.145Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Yeah I agree the title was very exciting but lead me to expect more of an overview of how to get a career in policy.

Comment by peter_hurford on Three Jobs for Policy-Oriented EAs · 2019-07-24T02:43:50.438Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Thanks! I still appreciate everything you do to get more people in great jobs.

Comment by peter_hurford on Three Jobs for Policy-Oriented EAs · 2019-07-23T23:39:06.089Z · score: 15 (7 votes) · EA · GW

I want to re-open the discussion of norms for jobs postings on the EA Forum. I found your previous one on plant-based meat careers and Claire and Luke's on cybersecurity careers to be really useful and I'm glad they were posted, but on the other hand I don't think the EA Forum should be yet another channel to post just any job opening - we already have a bunch of places for that and there's a collective action problem with using up article slots for this.

I think this one crossed the line a bit too much for me, so I'm downvoting it for now. I think compared to the others, this one was less informative about the impact of the careers and a bit too transparently self-serving by advertising jobs working directly with you in your org.

Maybe now that we have more advanced forum features and a community section this is less of an issue than it was, so I'm fine if the community disagrees with me here.

Comment by peter_hurford on The problem with malaria... · 2019-07-23T23:32:45.103Z · score: 7 (5 votes) · EA · GW

How do you propose evolving genetic resistance to malaria? Getting humans to a point where 100% of humans have 100% resistance to 100% of malaria strains is not really how disease works. Keep in mind that the malaria can evolve too.

Comment by peter_hurford on What are your thoughts on my career change options? (AI public policy) · 2019-07-20T00:15:31.661Z · score: 8 (7 votes) · EA · GW

I don't have any advice but just wanted to say that I think it's really cool that you asked for advice here.

Comment by peter_hurford on Animal Welfare Fund AMA · 2019-07-13T00:14:39.019Z · score: 15 (8 votes) · EA · GW

Question: How funding constrained do you feel like the Animal Welfare Fund is? Do you feel like you get to make essentially every grant you think you'd reasonably want to make or are there more awesome grants you would've made if only the fund had raised more money?

Comment by peter_hurford on EA Meta Fund AMA: 20th Dec 2018 · 2019-07-13T00:14:05.005Z · score: 16 (5 votes) · EA · GW

Question: How funding constrained do you feel like the Meta Fund is? Do you feel like you get to make essentially every grant you think you'd reasonably want to make or are there more awesome grants you would've made if only the fund had raised more money?

Comment by peter_hurford on Long-Term Future Fund: April 2019 grant recommendations · 2019-07-13T00:12:48.832Z · score: 18 (6 votes) · EA · GW

Question: How funding constrained do you feel like the Long-Term Future Fund is? Do you feel like you get to make essentially every grant you think you'd reasonably want to make or are there more awesome grants you would've made if only the fund had raised more money?

Comment by peter_hurford on Is EA Growing? EA Growth Metrics for 2018 · 2019-07-12T15:29:34.323Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · EA · GW

Yep! Fixed! Thanks!

Comment by peter_hurford on GiveWell's Top Charities Are Increasingly Hard to Beat · 2019-07-11T14:39:09.556Z · score: 11 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Can you elaborate more about what you mean?

Comment by peter_hurford on GiveWell's Top Charities Are Increasingly Hard to Beat · 2019-07-10T02:35:17.699Z · score: 11 (7 votes) · EA · GW

Corporate cage-free campaigns aren't considered among the “near-termist human-centric OpenPhil grants”... they're instead in a separate "animal-inclusive" granting bucket that will be evaluated later.

Comment by peter_hurford on Defining Meta Existential Risk · 2019-07-09T22:29:50.309Z · score: 8 (4 votes) · EA · GW

A more relevant curve for nuclear weapons might be "TNT equivalents" or "cost per ton TNT equivalent".

Comment by peter_hurford on First application round of the EAF Fund · 2019-07-06T02:55:51.402Z · score: 9 (7 votes) · EA · GW

This is very exciting - it is really great to see another large-scale grantmaker with a public application process.

Comment by peter_hurford on First application round of the EAF Fund · 2019-07-06T02:54:59.176Z · score: 4 (3 votes) · EA · GW

Nitpick: There is a typo in the choices for "What would you likely do if we decided not to fund your project?" in the application.

Comment by peter_hurford on EA Survey 2018 Series: Do EA Survey Takers Keep Their GWWC Pledge? · 2019-07-02T15:33:47.679Z · score: 6 (2 votes) · EA · GW

I'm not a good person to ask about that... I'd reach out to tech@givingwhatwecan.org and julia.wise@centreforeffectivealtruism.org.

It's worth noting that this post here uses data from the Effective Altruism Survey, which is different from the GWWC pledge dashboard. I don't think GWWC pledge dashboard has been used yet to calculate any retention statistics.

Comment by peter_hurford on Invertebrate Sentience Table · 2019-06-19T15:22:11.607Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · EA · GW

(Quick sidenote: "if we categorize all taxa as a likely yes"... it sounds like you're saying "taxa" are the features/rows, but "taxa" refers to groupings of animals. Sorry that the term is a bit unfamiliar.)