Comment by tetraspace-grouping on quant model for ai safety donations? · 2019-01-03T14:14:11.383Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · EA · GW

In MIRI's fundraiser they released their 2019 budget estimate, which spends about half on research personnel. I'm not sure how this compares to similar organizations.

Comment by tetraspace-grouping on quant model for ai safety donations? · 2019-01-03T00:58:30.282Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · EA · GW

The cost per researcher is typically larger than what they get paid, since it also includes overhead (administration costs, office space, etc).

Comment by tetraspace-grouping on quant model for ai safety donations? · 2019-01-02T21:55:14.671Z · score: 6 (3 votes) · EA · GW

One can convert the utility-per-researcher into utility-per-dollar by dividing everything by a cost per researcher. So if before you would have 1e-6 x-risk reduction per researcher, and you also decide to value researchers at $1M/researcher, then your evaluation in terms of cost is 1e-12 x-risk per dollar.

For some values (i.e. fake numbers but still acceptable for comparing orders-of-magnitude of cause areas) that I've saw used: The Oxford Prioritisation Project uses 1.8 million (lognormal distribution between $1M and $3M) for a MIRI researcher over their career, 80,000 Hours implicitly uses ~$100,000/year/worker in their yardsticks comparing cause areas, and Effective Altruism orgs in the 2018 talent survey claim to value their junior hires at $450k and senior hires at $3M on average (over three years).

Comment by tetraspace-grouping on Higher and more equal: a case for optimism · 2018-12-31T03:01:26.542Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · EA · GW

I love that “one person out of extreme poverty per second” statistic! It’s much easier to picture in my head than a group of 1,000 million people, since a second is something I’m familiar with seeing every day.

What’s the Use In Physics?

2018-12-30T03:10:03.063Z · score: 42 (25 votes)
Comment by tetraspace-grouping on Long-Term Future Fund AMA · 2018-12-20T12:01:32.725Z · score: 12 (8 votes) · EA · GW

Are there any organisations you investigated and found promising, but concluded that they didn't have much room for extra funding?